
August payrolls land with a Fed hike still a coin flip
Waller's hold signal cut September hike odds to 50.4% and lifted the S&P 1.06%. August payrolls arrive at 8:30 ET with consensus at just 56,000 jobs.
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Waller's hold signal cut September hike odds to 50.4% and lifted the S&P 1.06%. August payrolls arrive at 8:30 ET with consensus at just 56,000 jobs.

MongoDB fell 13.5% and Palo Alto 9.3% after both beat and raised. The rest of the market rose. ISM services and jobless claims land this morning.

Dell booked record AI server orders while software fell 5-7%. The market is repricing duration, not AI — and Broadcom reports after today's close.

July PCE and GDP land together at 8:30 ET, Nvidia reports after the bell, and Tuesday's tape was a rotation rather than a rally.

July non-farm payrolls land at 8:30 ET. Thursday closed with 62 of 100 large caps lower, and Datadog fell 19% on a beat-and-raise.

Friday split the market: Amazon and Alphabet ripped higher while Apple shed roughly $400 billion on supply guidance. Just 48 of 100 large caps advanced.