
Payrolls at 162,000 put a September hike back in play
August payrolls tripled the 53,000 consensus and hike odds are back near 59%. Oil sits at six-week highs, and CPI lands Friday.
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5 posts on this topic.

August payrolls tripled the 53,000 consensus and hike odds are back near 59%. Oil sits at six-week highs, and CPI lands Friday.

Waller's hold signal cut September hike odds to 50.4% and lifted the S&P 1.06%. August payrolls arrive at 8:30 ET with consensus at just 56,000 jobs.

MongoDB fell 13.5% and Palo Alto 9.3% after both beat and raised. The rest of the market rose. ISM services and jobless claims land this morning.

Dell booked record AI server orders while software fell 5-7%. The market is repricing duration, not AI — and Broadcom reports after today's close.

Global bond yields broke to multi-decade highs overnight and oil kept rising. The bond market, not stocks, is setting the terms before this open.